Introducing Atomic Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step Guide

Written by
Edward Jones
|
Updated on
December 24, 2025
|
6 min red
|
Helpful Tips

We are excited to officially announce Atomic Prediction Markets, a native integration with Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform.

The Web3 landscape is evolving. It is no longer just about holding assets; it is about engaging with information. With this update, Atomic Wallet users can now access deep global liquidity on real-world events directly through the app interface. We have streamlined the experience to remove the need for external dApp browsers, wallet connections, or complex setups.

Whether you are tracking the cryptocurrency market cap prediction, sports outcomes, or political cycles, you can now trade on your insights with the same security and self-custody you expect from Atomic Wallet.

What is a Prediction Market?

A prediction market is a financial exchange where participants trade on the outcome of future events. Unlike traditional polls or pundit opinions, which can be biased or consequence-free, prediction markets rely on capital-backed forecasting.

The core concept is simple: market prices represent the collective probability of an event occurring. If a share for a specific outcome trades at $0.60, the market is assigning a 60% probability to that event happening. This creates a real-time, data-driven forecast generated by the "wisdom of the crowd."

Atomic Predictions: The Secure & Native Way to Trade

One of the biggest friction points in DeFi is the connectivity layer. Users often have to navigate to third-party websites, approve permissions, and expose themselves to potential phishing links.

Atomic Predictions solves this by bringing the market inside the wallet.

  • Zero-Connect Experience: No need to "Connect Wallet" to a website. The interface is native.
  • Enhanced Security: You sign transactions within the secure environment of Atomic Wallet. Your private keys remain encrypted on your device.
  • Seamless Settlement: All trades settle in USDC.e (POL) directly to your balance, making it easy to manage your portfolio alongside your predictions.

Comparing On-chain Prediction Platforms

Why trade natively versus using a browser extension or a Centralized Exchange (CEX)?

Feature Atomic Predictions Web dApps CEX
Custody Self-Custody Self-Custody Exchange owns funds
Security High (Native env) Medium (Phishing) Variable
User Exp. Seamless (In-App) Fragmented Requires KYC
Privacy High Public Low (ID required)

Step-by-Step Guide: How to Place Your First Prediction

Getting started is straightforward. You will need USDC.e on the Polygon network to trade.

1. Open Atomic Wallet: Download or update to the latest version of the app to access the new features.

2. Navigate to Predictions: Go to the "Trade" tab in the main menu. On mobile devices, find the "Explore Polymarket" section and tap the "See All" button to enter the interface.

3. Ensure Your Balance: No deposits needed. Simply hold USDC.E (Polygon) in your Atomic Wallet to trade, and keep a small balance of POLYGON (formerly POL) to cover network fees. You can get USDC.E instantly using the "SWAP TO USDC.E" button.

4.Select a Market: Browse trending topics or search for specific keywords like "Super Bowl Champion 2026" or "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028"

5. Take a Position: Choose an outcome (Yes or No). Enter your amount to see the potential payout.

6. Check Your Portfolio: Your position is now active and tracked in your portfolio.

Restricted Regions: United States, United Kingdom, France, Belgium, Poland, Singapore, Thailand, Australia, Taiwan, Ontario (Canada), Romania, Colombia, Switzerland, Iran, Cuba, North Korea, Syria, Crimea/Donetsk/Luhansk regions, Belarus, Burundi, Myanmar (Burma), Ivory Coast, Democratic Republic of Congo, Iraq, Liberia, Libya, Mali, Somalia, Sudan, Venezuela, Yemen, Zimbabwe, Algeria, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Ecuador, Morocco, and Nepal.

Trending Markets: From Crypto Prices to Sports & Culture

Liquidity on prediction markets is currently at an all-time high. Here are the top markets driving volume right now:

Super Bowl Champion 2026

This is currently the largest active market with over $627m in volume. Traders are actively forecasting the halftime show 2026 and the game winner. As seen in the app, the Los Angeles R and Seattle are currently top contenders. Prices here are highly dynamic, shifting with every roster update and playoff game.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics drives significant engagement and volume ($387m). Prediction markets often react faster than news outlets. Current data shows granular trading on potential candidates like Gavin Newsom and AOC (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez), offering a glimpse into the 2028 presidential election landscape years in advance.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

For those looking at longer timeframes, this market ($154m volume) tracks the ultimate winner. It includes heavy trading on familiar names like Trump 2028 and Kamala Harris 2028, allowing users to take strategic long-term positions.

UEFA Champions League Winner

The premier event for football fans has accumulated $143m in volume. European giants like Arsenal and Bayern Munich are heavily traded. Fluctuations occur in real-time during the group stage and knockout rounds, correlating directly with match performance.

English Premier League Winner

Another massive sports market with $139m in volume. The race for the Premier League trophy is often a tight contest between Arsenal and Man City, providing constant volatility and trading opportunities throughout the season.

All these events can be predicted directly in Atomic Wallet. Download the latest version and explore the markets today.

Conclusion

Prediction markets represent a shift in how we value information. They turn knowledge into a liquid asset. With Atomic Predictions, we are making this powerful tool accessible, secure, and easy to use.

Whether you are analyzing the "2028 presidential election" or the next "Champions League trophy" winner, you can now back your insights directly from your wallet.

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